Project Overview

Understanding where species are likely to occur now and in the future can help identify areas that are resistant to change over time and guide conservation planning. In this project, we evaluated changes in species distribution patterns and spatial resistance under five future scenarios (developed by the New England Landscape Futures Project). We developed scenario-specific persistence and resistance maps for nine harvested wildlife species in the New England region of the northeastern United States, and evaluate change in occurrence probabilities within resistant areas. Resistance maps display areas where species occurrence probability is likely to remain high (p > 0.7) and resistant to change over a 50-year time period (2010-2060). Details of the project can be found in the following publication: Pearman-Gillman SB, Duveneck M, Murdoch JD, and Donovan TM. In review. Wildlife resistance and protection in a changing New England landscape. PLOS ONE.


Our objectives were to (1) Map distribution change for each species under five alternative scenarios, (2) Identify areas on the landscape where species persist under individual scenarios and remain resistant to change across all scenarios, and (3) Evaluate resistance within protected areas and throughout the New England region.

Dataset Availability

Description only: 1 dataset

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Status - Active

Start date: 2016-05-01

Study Area

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