STAT 2510 - Applied Probability
Richard Single
Richard(dot)Single(at)uvm(dot)edu
Modality: Partially Flipped. We will meet synchronously on T/TH at 11:40 - 12:55 in Votey 303.
Text:"Probability and Statistical Inference" by Hogg, Tanis, and Zimmerman (9th or 10th edition)
* Please Read Carefully: Differences between the 9th and 10th editions
Prerequisites: Calculus II (Math 12, 14, 20, or 22) is required.
Office hours: Wed 1:00-2:00 and by appointment
Course syllabus
NOTE:
- I will use Brightspace to post HW solutions and collect HW assignments. I do not plan to post messages or announcements via Brightspace. Pre-class notes and Classwork will be submitted (before and at the end of, respectively) each meeting via MS Forms using the "tinyurl" for the course.
- You will be turning in classwork at the end of each class. This will be graded on a 0-2 scale (0=no real work; 1=a minimal attempt; 2=an honest attempt). at tinyurl.com/stat2510-work. If you are excused from class ahead of class time, you will be allowed to submit your classwork by the end of the day at the above URL.
Homework assignments
Notes (my notes are intentionally incomplete)
Pre-class Videos
Watching and taking notes on the pre-recorded class videos will be an ongoing assignment
throughout the course. The URLs for videos are posted on MS Teams in the General channel
under Files/ClassMaterials.
Pre-class Notes
You will submit your pre-class notes before each class meeting about the video assigned for
that day's class. Your pre-class notes should fill in some of the incomplete details in my posted notes.
Resources:
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Calculus review materials.
- Plots and Examples from class
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Drawing a PMF plot in Excel or
JMP
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Creating a relative frequency table from a column of data called "x_obs" in Excel:
Highlight the column of data. Select Data:AnalyzeData and it should appear on the right hand side.
If it does not show up, type "pivot table with counts of x_obs values" in the 'Ask a question' box.
- 4-minute audio clip about Baye's Rule and vaccine development.
- MLE for mark-recapture Hypergeometric example.
- The Rutherford/Geiger Poisson example can be found here.
- The Q-Q plot example can be found here.
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Some applets
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More applets (PMFs and CDFs)