The horizon problem

Author

Clayton Cafiero

Published

2026-06-17

The “horizon problem”

Whenever we explore a tree to a fixed depth, we have the “horizon problem.” It may be that a really good move is invisible because it is beyond our horizon (at a greater depth than we have searched). By the same token, there may be a really good move for our opponent just beyond the same horizon. If we don’t take such a move into consideration, we could walk into a trap.

These kinds of problems necessarily follow whenever we don’t have the entire game tree available to us for analysis and decision-making.

So what’s to be done?