Political Science 157

International Politics of the Middle East

Spring 2008

 

 

bulletSyllabus
bulletLinks to Middle Eastern Sites on the WWW
bulletBailey-Howe Library Reserve Readings Website
bulletEssay Questions
bulletLink to Lecture on pre-20th Century Middle East
bulletLink to Lecture on Palestine Crisis/Creation of Israel
bulletLink to Lecture on Inter-War Period
bulletLink to Lecture on World War II and Beginning of Cold War
bulletLink to Lecture on Pan-Arabism in 1950's and 1960's
bulletLink to Lecture on the 1967 War
bulletLink to Lecture on Palestinian Nationalism in the 1960's and 1970's
bulletLink to Lecture on the 1973 War
bulletLink to Lecture on Camp David
bulletLink to Lecture on Oil Revolution
bulletLink to Lecture on Iranian Revolution and Regional Politics
bulletLink to Lecture on the Failure of the Likud Strategy in the 1980's
bulletLink to Lecture on the Gulf War, 1990-91
bulletLink to Lecture on Peace Process, 1991-2001
bulletLink to Lecture on 9/11 and the Middle East
bulletLink to Lecture on the Iraq War
bulletLink to Lecture on Trends and Tensions in Middle East International Relations

 

Associate Professor Gregory Gause Office Hours:  Tuesday-Thursday 12:30-2 PM
Office:  525 Old Mill or by appointment
Telephone:  x60571 e-mail:  gregory.gause@uvm.edu 

 

Purpose:  Why did a group of Arabs, mostly from Saudi Arabia , fly planes into the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on September 11, 2001?  Why did the United States respond with a war on Iraq?  Will there ever be Arab-Israeli peace, and should it matter to Americans?  How do events in the Middle East affect what I pay for gasoline?  Why do American presidents spend so much time on Middle East questions?  To answer these questions, we have to understand the development of the international system in the Middle East.  This course will introduce you to that subject, and provide you with the background to answer the questioned posed above.  We will analyze various stages of international relations in the Middle East from World War I to the present, focusing on the interaction of four key factors in each stage:  1) Great Power policies; 2) the Arab-Israeli conflict; 3) regional rivalries (among Arab states and in the Persian Gulf) and transnational ideologies (Pan-Arabism, Islam); and 4) domestic politics of the concerned states.  In each of the stages these four factors combined in different ways to produce distinct political agendas and international outcomes.  We will concentrate on a number of topics: the development of the state system in the region and the challenges to it; ideological factors in conflict and alliance behavior; the causes of war and peace; and the effect of domestic political and economic change on the foreign policy behavior of the region's states.  The course concludes with a review of the current status of regional international politics, particularly in Iraq, the Arab-Israeli area and the new American “war on terrorism.”

Grading:  Grades in this course will be computed as follows:  a) 2 in-semester take-home essays (40%); b) a final essay (30%); and c) quizzes (30%).  The questions for the take-home and final essays are appended to this syllabus.  One of the in-semester essays, chosen from questions 1 through 7, must be submitted by February 26.  The other, chosen from questions 8 through 13, must be submitted by April 17.  The final essay is due on May 6 (the scheduled day for the final exam in the course).  The schedule for the quizzes is in the syllabus, though I reserve the right to postpone quizzes if material needs to be covered for that quiz.  I reserve the right to assign other writing assignments which will be calculated with the quiz grades for purposes of computing the final grade.

 

Readings :  The following books are available for purchase in the bookstore:

-Peter Mansfield and Nicolas Pelham, A History of the Middle East

            -Peter L. Hahn, Crisis and Crossfire:  The United States and the Middle East Since 1945

-Ian J. Bickerton and Carla L. Klausner, A Concise History of the Arab-IsraeliConflict (4th edition)

            -Ivo Daalder and James Lindsay, America Unbound:  The Bush Revolution in Foreign Policy


We will also view parts of the PBS special on the history of the Arab-Israeli conflict, The 50 Years War, during the course of the semester.  Other readings will be available on the Bailey-Howe Library reserve reading website (http://voyager.uvm.edu).  At that website, select "Course Reserves."  Then select the course number (POLS 157) to access the readings.  You will be prompted for your username and password at some point in that process.  Your username is your “zoo” alias (usually your first initial and last name).  Your password is your “zoo” password.  Direct links to all posted readings can be found on the this website.

From time to time I will be unable to attend a regularly scheduled class, because of academic or other obligations out of town.  I reserve the right to schedule make-up classes during reading period to cover any material in the syllabus that was not completed during the semester.

Classroom Protocol -- The Department of Political Science requires that this classroom protocol, defining minimum standards of conduct, be included in all syllabi of political science classes.

1.  Students are expected to attend and be prepared for ALL regularly scheduled classes.

2.  Students are expected to arrive on time and stay in class until the class period ends.  If a students knows in advance that s/he will need to leave early, s/he should notify the instructor before the class period begins.

3.  Students are expected to treat faculty and fellow students with respect.  For example, students must not disrupt class by leaving and reentering during class, must not distract class by making noise, and must be attentive to comments being made by the instructors and by peers.

 

SCHEDULE OF LECTURES, READINGS AND ASSIGNMENTS

January 15:  Introduction to the Course.  An Approach to the Study of Middle Eastern International Relations

 

January 17-29:  The Modern Middle Eastern State System (1908-1940)
Dime Store Tour of Islamic History/Breakdown of the Ottoman and Qajar Empires/Western Colonial Policy/WWI and the International Agreements/Arab Nationalism and Zionism/The Powers, the Mandates and "Independent" Regional States

-Mansfield and Pelham, Chapters 1-9

-Bickerton and Klausner, Introduction, Chapters 1, 2

 

January 24:  MAP QUIZ

 

January 31-February 7:  World War II and the Creation of Israel (1940-1949)
Reassertion of Imperial Control/US Entrance into the Region/The Cold War in the Middle East/ The Palestine Climax

-Mansfield and Pelham, Chapter 10

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapters 3, 4

-Hahn, Chapters 1, 2; and Documents 1, 2 and 3

-viewing of the first part of the PBS special The 50 Years War

 

February 7:  QUIZ

 

February 12-14:  Domestic Upheaval, Pan-Arabism and the Cold War
Political Changes in the Arab World and Iran/US Defense Plans and Soviet Reactions/The Suez War 1956/Nasser, Pan-Arabism, and the "Arab Cold War"

-Mansfield and Pelham, Chapter 11

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapter 5

-Hahn, Chapter 3; and Document 4

-Mark Gasiorowski, "The CIA Looks Back at the 1953 Coup," Middle East Report, Fall 2000 (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

-for the CIA documents on the 1953 coup obtained by the New York Times, go to http://www.nytimes.com/library/world/mideast/ 041600iran-cia-index.html.  Skim them to get a flavor

 

February 19:  The 1967 Arab-Israeli War
Why did Nasser escalate the conflict at this time?/Why did Israel, the U.S. and the Soviets react the way they did?/Consequences of the War

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapter 6

-Hahn, pp. 47-55; and Documents 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

-viewing of the second part of the PBS special The 50 Years War

 

February 26:  FIRST ESSAY DUE

 

February 21-26: Arab-Israeli War and Peace in the 1970's
PLO and the 1970 Jordanian Civil War/1973 War/Strategic, Domestic and Economic Factors behind Camp David

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapters 7, 8

-Hahn, pp. 57-67;  and Documents 11, 12, 13, 14

-viewing of the third part of the PBS special The 50 Years War

 

February 28:  QUIZ

 

February 28-March 20:  Oil, the Gulf, the Iranian Revolution and the Iran-Iraq War
Background of the World Oil Market/The Strategic Picture in the Gulf after the British Withdrawal in 1971/The Oil Explosions of 1973 and 1979/The Iranian Revolution and its Regional Consequences/The Iran-Iraq War

-Mansfield and Pelham, Chapter 12

-F. Gregory Gause, III, "Gulf Regional Politics," in W. Howard Wriggins (ed.), Dynamics of Regional Politics, Columbia University Press, 1992 (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

-Hahn, Chapter 5; Document 5

 

March 25-27:  The Failure of the Likud Strategy in the 1980’s
Likud and the Occupied Territories/The 1982 Lebanon War/The Intifada in Palestinian and Israeli Politics/US Policy Post-Camp David, Pre-Gulf War

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapter 9

-Hahn, pp. 87-91

-viewing of fourth part of the PBS special The 50 Years War

 

 April 1:  QUIZ

 

April 1-3:  The Gulf War, 1990-91
Causes and Consequences/The Gulf after the War

-Hahn, pp. 105-120; and Documents 18, 19

-Zachary Karabell, "Backfire:  US Policy toward Iraq, 1988-2 August 1990," Middle East Journal, Winter 1995 (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

-Gregory Gause, "Iraq's Decisions to Go to War, 1980 and 1990," Middle East Journal, Winter 2002 (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

-National Security Directive 54, ordering the U.S. attack on Iraq, available from the National Security Archive: www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB21/06-01.htm 

 

April 8-10:  The Peace Process, 1991-2001:  Breakthrough to Breakdown
The Madrid Framework/Israeli and Palestinian Motivations Behind the Oslo Agreement/Jordanian-Israeli Peace/The Syrian Track/Camp David II and Breakdown

-Bickerton and Klausner, Chapters 10, 11, 12, Conclusion

-Hahn, pp. 91-104; and Documents 15, 16, 17

-Hussein Agha and Robert Malley, “Camp David:  The Tragedy of Errors,” New York Review of Books, August 9, 2001 – available at:  http://www.nybooks.com/articles/14380

-“Setting the Record Straight,” Interview with Dennis Ross, Washington Institute for Near East Policy, August 8, 2001 – available at: http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC05.php?CID=2031

-“Inside the Mideast Peace Plan,” (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

-viewing of the fifth part of the PBS special The 50 Years War

 

April 15:  QUIZ

 

April 17:  SECOND ESSAY DUE

 

April 15-17:  September 11 and the American War on Terror
The Origins of “Bin Ladenism”/Afghanistan War/Saudi-American Relations

-Michael Scott Doran, “Somebody Else’s Civil War,” Foreign Affairs, January/February 2002 – available at: (http://evatt.labor.net.au/publications/papers/76.html)

-Daalder and Lindsay, Chapters 6-8

-National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States (9-11 Commission), Final Report, Chapter 2 (http://www.9-11commission.gov/report/911Report_Ch2.pdf), Chapter 10 (http://www.9-11commission.gov/report/911Report_Ch10.pdf

 

April 22-24:  The Iraq War and the Future of the Middle East
The Iraq War and its Aftermath/Democracy Promotion in the Region/Review of Current Regional Situation

                        -Daalder and Lindsay, Chapters 9-12

                        -Mansfield and Pelham, Chapter 13

                        -Hahn, pp. 120-135; and Document 20

                        -Richard Haass, “The New Middle East,” Foreign Affairs, November/December 2006, http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20061101faessay85601-p0/richard-n-haass/the-new-middle-east.html

                        -Ze’ev Schiff, “Israel’s War with Iran,” Foreign Affairs, November/December 2006, (on Voyager reserve reading website -- http://voyager.uvm.edu)

                        -Series of 4 National Public Radio reports on the effects of the surge strategy in Iraq, January 7-10, 2008 (be sure to access all four stories), http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=17857251

 

April 29:  Tying Up Loose Ends/Review/Final Essay

 

May 6:  FINAL ESSAY DUE

  

 In-Semester Essay Questions -- Students must submit two (2) essays during the semester.  One is due on or before February 26, and must be chosen from questions 1-7.  The other is due on or before April 17, and must be chosen from questions 8-13.  The essays may be no more than 5 pages in length.  All essays must be double-spaced typed, with one-inch margins at the top, bottom and sides of the pages.  Letter size of the font may be no smaller than the size used in this syllabus.  Length limits will be strictly observed.  Do not exceed them.

  These essays are analytical, not research-based.  You need not read anything but the assigned readings to write them.  You do, however, have to think about the assigned readings and the lectures in order to write good essays.  The key to these essays is making an argument and supporting it with references to the readings and lectures.  Make sure that when you do refer directly to a reading that you properly cite the author(s).  A full citation is not necessary.  An abbreviated citation (eg.:  Mansfield , p. 234) is sufficient.  If you do cite a source other than those included in the assigned readings, give the full citation.  Leave yourself enough time to write a first draft, edit and cut it, and hand in the second draft.

1.  What were the major effects of the collapse of the Ottoman Empire on the international politics of the Middle East?  Give examples. 

2.  Why did Great Britain make the various (some would contend contradictory) promises to its allies, the Sharif of Mecca and the Zionist movement during World War I?  Discuss this issue in light of overall British policy goals in the Middle East.

3.  Compare and contrast the origins of the Zionist movement and the Arab nationalist movement(s) in the latter part of the 19th century and the beginning of the 20th century.  Be sure to discuss the two movements’ ideological reactions to European power and political ideas and how they dealt with the relationship between religion and politics.

4.  Why were the Israelis able to win the civil war in Mandatory Palestine and the Arab-Israeli War of 1948-49?

5.  Trace the process by which the United States became involved in Middle Eastern politics during the period 1930-1960, highlighting the tensions the U.S. faced in pursuing its interests.

6.  Why did the Nasserist Arab unity program of the 1950's and 1960's fail?

7.  Why did Nasser escalate the crisis of May-June 1967, but refrain from initiating a war?  Be sure to discuss both Nasser 's reasons for starting the crisis and his reasons for caution in terms of actually using force.  Why did Israel react at first passively to that escalation, but then launch its attack on Egypt, Jordan and Syria in June 1967?

8.  How did the oil shock of 1973 change international politics in the Middle East ?  If it did not, why was its effect so minimal?  Be sure to discuss both how the oil shock changed regional politics, and the limits of oil power.

9.  Why did Egypt and Israel sign a peace treaty in 1979?  Why did other Arab parties not join the treaty?

10.  How, if at all, did the Iranian Revolution of 1979 and the Islamic resurgence in regional politics affect international politics in the Middle East?  Be sure to discuss both how the Revolution changed regional politics, and the limits on its influence.

11.  Compare the Iraqi war decisions of 1980 and 1990.  What is similar about them, what is different, and why?

12.    What changes in the region and the world led to the PLO-Israeli and Jordanian-Israeli agreements of 1993-94?

13.  Why did the peace process on both the Syrian and the Palestinian tracks collapse in 2000?

 

Final Essay -- All students must choose one of the following two questions and submit their essay on (or before) May 6.  This essay is not to exceed ten (10) pages.  It must be double-spaced typed, with one-inch margins at the top, bottom and sides of the pages.  Length limits will be strictly observed.  Do not exceed them. If you choose the first essay, be sure to integrate material from the entire course in your answer, and to provide concrete historical and/or current examples to support your argument.  If you choose the second or third essay, be sure to do sufficient research to write a good answer.

1.  Why have there been so many wars and other kinds of inter-state conflict in the Middle East since 1945?  In your answer, be sure to discuss Arab-Israeli, inter-Arab and Persian Gulf events during this time period.  Also, be sure to discuss how transnational identities such as Arab nationalism, Islam and other, more limited identities that cross borders affect the level of conflict.

2.  Is the Iraq War a major departure in American policy toward the Middle East , or is it simply the culmination of long-term trends?  Be sure to discuss the origins of American strategy in the region as well as the reasons behind the Iraq War in your answer.

3.  Prepare a briefing paper for President Bush on U.S. policy options in the Middle East in the wake of the September 11 attacks and the Iraq War.  Be sure to deal with both the Arab-Israeli situation (including Lebanon), the future of Iraq , the Iranian nuclear issue, the war on terrorism and proposals for political reform in the region.  This briefing paper should describe current U.S. policy and the origins and background of that policy.  The briefing paper should set out a range of options for U.S. policy makers to pursue in the immediate future.  In each case you should set out the benefits, risks and probability of success for each policy course.

 

MIDDLE EAST LINKS

bulletWashington Post Middle East Page
bulletNew York Times Middle East Page
bulletAl-Jazeera's English website -- the English web location of the famous (infamous?) Arabic language, 24-hour satellite news channel
bulletThe CIA's World Factbook -- thumbnail information on every country in the world
bulletIslamic Studies Pathway -- A selection of links regarding Islam, not just about politics, put together by Dr. Gary Blunt of the Centre for Islamic Studies at the University of Wales
bulletDepartment of State Human Rights Report -- annual report on human rights and other political conditions in every country in the world
bulletDepartment of State Middle East page -- for the official U.S. view of things, plus statements by U.S. officials
bulletGovernment of Israel -- Ministry of Foreign Affairs -- both background information and up-to-date news and policy statements
bulletUniversity of Texas Middle East Center -- an excellent gateway to information sources about individual countries and topics on the Middle East
bulletThe Gulf 2000 Project -- An internet-based research project at Columbia University that focuses on the eight countries of the Persian/Arabian Gulf area (Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Oman).  Excellent links for each country.
bulletHaaretz newspaper -- English language edition -- the leading Israeli newspaper, which covers the peace process as well as anybody
bulletPalestinian Academic Society for the Study of International Relations (PASSIA) -- a private Palestinian think-tank in Jerusalem, with some very good maps on the Jerusalem issue.  This link takes you to their Jerusalem page, from which you can link to the maps.
bulletPalestinian National Authority -- the official web page of Yasir Arafat's government.  Up-to-date official Palestinian statements on the peace process can be found here.
bulletThe International Crisis Group's Middle East page -- an excellent private research group that covers world crises, with material on Iraq, Iran, the Arab-Israeli situation and much more on the Middle East
bulletFoundation for Middle East Peace -- an American organization that promotes a relatively pro-Palestinian line on Arab-Israeli questions, with good maps and information on Israeli settlement activity
bulletCarnegie Endowment for International Peace, Democracy and Rule of Law Project -- some excellent work on the issue of democracy and reform in the Arab world
bulletWashington Institute for Near East Policy -- the top Washington think-tank on Middle East issues, pro-Israeli reputation, very influential in policy circles with high quality publications
bulletKurdistan Regional Government -- the official website of the Iraqi Kurdish regional government