Forest Ecosystem Monitoring Cooperative

Wildlife resistance and protection in a changing New England landscape: American black bear

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Metadata Provider

  • Forest Ecosystem Monitoring Cooperative

    • Address:
      705 Spear Street
      South Burlington, Vermont 05403
      United States of America

      Phone: (802) 391-4135
      Email: femc@uvm.edu
      Website: www.uvm.edu/femc

Abstract

    Understanding where species are likely to occur now and in the future can help identify areas that are resistant to change over time and guide conservation planning. In this project, we evaluated changes in species distribution patterns and spatial resistance under five future scenarios (developed by the New England Landscape Futures Project). We developed scenario-specific persistence and resistance maps for nine harvested wildlife species in the New England region of the northeastern United States, and evaluate change in occurrence probabilities within resistant areas. Resistance maps display areas where species occurrence probability is likely to remain high (p > 0.7) and resistant to change over a 50-year time period (2010-2060). Details of the project can be found in the following publication: Pearman-Gillman SB, Duveneck M, Murdoch JD, and Donovan TM. In review. Wildlife resistance and protection in a changing New England landscape. PLOS ONE.

People

  • Terri Donovan: Content Provider

  • James Murdoch: Content Provider

  • Schuyler Pearman-Gillman: Principal Investigator

  • Matthew Duveneck: Content Provider

Organizations

  • United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) National Institute of Food and Agriculture: funder
  • University of Vermont Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources: lead
  • Vermont Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit : partner
  • Harvard University Harvard Forest: partner

Geographic Coverage

  • Coordinates

    Data Table

    • Title: American black bear
    • Start Date: 2016-05-01
    • Description: These are raster maps of American black bear (Ursus americanus) scenario-simulated persistence and resistance to change throughout New England. Rasters display species spatial persistence (single-scenario) and resistance (across scenarios) as projected by the NELFP scenarios: Business-As-Usual, Connected Communities, Yankee Cosmopolitan, Go It Alone, and Growing Global. Persistence maps are binary and indicate locations where species probability of occurrence was high (p > 0.7) under current (2010) conditions and remained high (p > 0.7) under scenario projected (2060) conditions. Resistance maps isolate areas of focal species persistence across all NELFP scenarios. Resistant pixels are sub-classified according to patterns of change in occurrence probability; pixel classifications include (1) "resistant-constant", (2) "resistant-increasing", (3) "resistant-decreasing", and (4) "resistant-variable". Persistence and resistance maps were derived from species distribution models developed through expert elicitation and mixed modeling methods, and climate and landcover conditions for 2010 and 2060. For further details, please see: Pearman-Gillman SB, M. Duveneck M, Murdoch J, and Donovan T. 2020. Wildlife resistance and protection in a changing New England landscape. PLOS ONE.

    • Purpose:

    • Condensed Title: 20200908185945_American black bear.zip

    • Object Name: VMC.1639.3364

    • Data Type: mySQL
    • Citation: Schuyler Pearman-Gillman (2020) American black bear scenario projected persistence and resistance maps. FEMC. Available online at: https://www.uvm.edu/femc/data/archive/project/wildlife_resistance/dataset/american-black-bear-3

    • Online Distribution: https://www.uvm.edu/femc/data/archive/project/wildlife_resistance/dataset/american-black-bear-3

    Attribute List

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