Selected publications
[1] ÒGame Theory to the Rescue?Ó Contributions
to Political Economy
(1994) vol. 13, pp. 1-28. [2] ÒThe Microfoundations Project in General
Equilibrium Theory.Ó Cambridge Journal of Economics (1994) vol. 18, pp. 357-77. [3] ÒResponses to Arbitrariness in Contemporary
Economics.Ó History of Political Economy (1997) vol. 29, pp. 273-88. [4] ÒNovelty, Imitation and Habits in a
Scitovskian Model of ConsumptionÓ (with Rajiv Sethi). In Marina Bianchi, ed., The Active
Consumer: Novelty and Surprise in Consumer Choice ( Routledge, 1998), pp.
198-211. [5] ÒRationality.Ó In Heinz Kurz and Neri
Salvadori, eds., Elgar Companion to Classical Economics (Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 1998) vol. 2, pp.
256-58. [6] ÒUtility.Ó In Heinz Kurz and Neri
Salvadori, eds., Elgar Companion to Classical Economics (Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 1998) vol. 2, pp. 488-92. [7] ÒUtility.Ó In John B. Davis, D. Wade Hands and Uskali MŠki, eds., The
Handbook of Economic Methodology (Northhampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 1998), pp.
516-25. [8] ÒPhilip Mirowski as a Historian of Economic
Thought.Ó In Steven G. Medema and Warren J. Samuels, eds., Historians of
Economic Thought: The Construction of Disciplinary Memory (Routledge, 2001), pp.
214-227. [9] ÒPreference Formation and the Axioms of
Choice.Ó Review of Political Economy (2001) vol. 13, pp. 141-59. [10] ÒAdam SmithÕs Sympathy: Towards a Normative
Economics.Ó In Edward Fullbrook, ed., Intersubjectivity in Economics:
Agents and Structures (Routledge, 2002), pp. 241-53. [11] ÒPostwar Neoclassical Microeconomics.Ó In
Warren J. Samuels, Jeff E. Biddle and John B. Davis, eds., Blackwell Companion
to the History of Economic Thought (Blackwell, 2003), pp. 377-394 [12] ÒDeception and Game Theory.Ó In Caroline
Gerschlager, ed., Deception in Markets: An Economic Analysis (Palgrave , 2004), pp.
25-49. [13] ÒExperimentation, General Equilibrium and
Games.Ó In Philippe Fontaine and Robert J. Leonard, eds., The Experiment in
the History of Economics (Routledge, 2005), pp. 50-70. [14] ÒPluralism in Economics.Ó Paper presented
at the American Economics Association meeting, Philadelphia, PA, January 8,
2005. [15] "The Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu Results after 30
Years." Paper presented at
the "Agreement on Demand" conference, Duke University, April
22-24, 2005, and at the History of Economics Society annual meeting,
University of Puget Sound, June 24-27, 2005. [16]
Poverty, Work and Freedom: Political Economy and the Moral Order, with David P. Levine
(Cambridge University Press, 2005). |
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Research Statement
In
his Theory of Political Economy (1871), William Stanley Jevons held that Òthe general
form of the laws of economics is the same in the case of individuals and the
nations.Ó For Jevons,
there was no problem of combining the actions of individuals to see if the
aggregated result resembled the posited individual behavior. He simply asserted his view and did
not derive it from the microeconomic theory of individual behavior. Yet his stance persisted in
economics. As late as 1939, John
Hicks wrote in Value and Capital that the transition from individual to
aggregate behavior makes use of the Òsimple principleÉthat the behaviour of a
group of individuals, or a group of firms, obeys the same laws as the
behaviour of a single unit.Ó
Following the demonstration that competitive equilibria exist in
economic models, the ambitions of economists changed. From the 1950Õs well into the 1980Õs,
economists tended to agree with statements such as this one by Allan Drazen,
who wrote in 1980 that ÒExplanations of macroeconomic phenomena will be
complete only when such explanations are consistent with microeconomic choice
theoretic behavior and can be phrased in the language of general equilibrium
theory.Ó We might call this the
project of microfoundations: the
ambition to derive regularities at the macroeconomic level from assumptions
and restrictions made on individual economic behavior. The
bulk of my research concerns the growing realization and acceptance of the
view that this ambition could not be realized. Many phenomena of macroeconomic interest rely on
well-behaved aggregate demand relationships. The form of aggregate excess demands affects the
uniqueness, stability and comparative statics of equilibrium; econometric
identification of aggregate relationships; the microfoundations of macroeconomics;
and the existence of imperfectly competitive general equilibrium. Hugo Sonnenschein, Rolf Mantel,
GŽrard Debreu and their followers showed in the 1970Õs and 1980Õs that the
aggregate excess demands arising from general equilibrium theory are essentially
arbitrary, save for some properties that are enough to prove the existence of
equilibrium. These
arbitrariness results, which I call SMD theory after the initials of the
originators of this line of work, are of great consequence for the understanding
and development of economic theory. In
a series of publications (numbered at the left), I explore the impact of the
SMD results for economic theory and its redirection in the past 20
years. In ÒMicrofoundations
ProjectÓ [2], I contend that the SMD results allow one to conclude that the
attempt to establish macroeconomics on the basis of microfoundations in
general equilibrium theory cannot succeed. Other economists also arrived at this conclusion and
argued that macroeconomic regularities may have to be based on other
macroeconomic constructs, and not strictly on microeconomic foundations, as I
relate in ÒResponses to ArbitrarinessÓ [3]. Indeed, one aspect of the growing realization that
progress cannot be made on the basis of general equilibrium theory is that
other approaches to economic theory have found resonance with
economists. Rational choice game
theory is an outstanding example of this transformation in economics
although, as I explain in ÒGame Theory to the Rescue?Ó [1], it has its own problems. ÒDeception and Game TheoryÓ [12] updates
my views on rational choice game theory, particularly on the knowledge
requirements for equilibrium.
Experimental economics and evolutionary game theory are other trends
that came to prominence as general equilibrium theory declined, as I relate
in ÒExperimentationÓ [13]. I
argue in ÒPluralismÓ [14] that much of the diversity in approaches in
economic theory that we observe since the mid-1980Õs can be seen as a
response to the realization that progress could not be made using general
equilibrium theory. These developments have encouraged me to view the
trajectory of recent economics historically and to reflect on the historianÕs
work, as in ÒMirowski as a HistorianÓ [8]. In ÒPostwar Neoclassical MicroeconomicsÓ [11], my most
synoptic work in this area, I urge that basic difficulties with general
equilibrium theory and game theory affect the course of recent
microeconomics. I try to bring
my views on SMD theory up to date in ÒSonnenschein-Mantel-DebreuÓ [15], where
I explain and evaluate recent work by others that argues that those who speak
of the ineffectiveness of economic research based on general equilibrium
theory have been too sweeping.
While I find this recent work to be important and interesting, I
contend that the negative conclusions based on SMD theory are substantially
unaffected by it. Given
that I maintain that the SMD results had an epochal impact on economic
theory, I also see the importance of exploring and developing alternatives to
the positive and normative views of individual behavior on which general
equilibrium theory relies. This
represents a second, related area of my research. The behavior of economic agents might be hard to capture with
a single utility index. The
classical economists seemed to have appreciated this point (ÒUtilityÓ [6])
and an approach to rationality might follow from their work (ÒRationalityÓ
[5]). More generally, approaches
based on utility-maximizing individuals raise a number of methodological
problems (ÒUtilityÓ [7]). One of
these is that if there are a number of influences on the formation of
preferences, a single preference- or utility-based index may not be possible,
as I demonstrate in ÒPreference FormationÓ [9]. A co-author, Rajiv Sethi, and I argue in ÒNoveltyÓ
[4] that a fruitful approach to consumer choice is based on novelty,
imitation and habit formation, as was emphasized by Tibor Scitovsky. The complex behavior that ensues is
best seen statistically rather than analytically. If
the usual model of individual economic behavior is not followed, the
evaluation of behavior and its outcomesÑnormative economicsÑneeds to be
reconsidered. I argue in ÒAdam
SmithÕs SympathyÓ [10] that Adam SmithÕs theory of moral sentiments is an
important departure for normative economics. I develop a normative theme, the
idea of poverty, in joint work with David Levine. Poverty, Work and Freedom [16] explores the issue
of what is missing in the lives of the poor. The usual answer is that poverty means lack of
subsistence, basic needs or a minimum level of income. We agree that people in dire need
should be provided for. But even
if minimal requirements could be adequately defined in a modern setting, we
argue that a person with only such requirements satisfied would still be
impoverished. Rather than identifying
poverty with a lack of goods or income, we concur with Amartya Sen and Martha
Nussbaum in saying that poverty means not having the capability to live a
life that goes well. The
contours of such a life are informed by norms, particularly the norm of
freedom, as Sen has emphasized.
Because of the open-endedness of such a life, we argue that
predetermined lists of goods or capabilities cannot help to separate the poor
from others. The capacity to
deal with this open-endedness is important, and we explore this capacity with
the tools of psychology, relying on the work of Donald Winnicott. In focusing on the economic
implications of this approach, we examine self-reports of well-being (of
which the utility approach has been skeptical) and conclude that the nature
of work plays an important role in identifying poverty. Our book thus focuses on the
capability to do satisfying work as an important aspect of poverty. |
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Last
updated July
18, 2005 |