I
examine dynamics of change
within pest-crop agroecosystems
and study the effects of climate
change on agroecosystems. To
address these issues, I use a
variety of techniques in
population modeling,
spatiotemporal forecast modeling
and landscape ecology. An
important goal of my work
is the creation of applicable
and predictive models to inform
Integrated Pest Management
systems.
Research
Assistant Professor Department
of Plant and Soil Science
University of Vermont 63 Carrigan Drive Jeffords Hall,
Room 217 Burlington, VT
05405-1737 Ph: (802)
656-0711 Fax: (802)
656-4656
June 2012. I am currently developing
code for an Ecological Gaming class that
I hope to teach in the spring of 2013.
This class focuses on teaching the
foundations of Ecology through the lens
of a computer simulation game. Check out
this animation
of a simulation of the tri-trophic world.
January 2012. My
work with Sheri Pucherelli, Frank
Peairs, and Terri Randolph was published
in the journal Arthropod-Plant
Interactions. This work entitled
"Russian wheat aphid (Hemiptera:
Aphididae) reproduction and development
on five nonclutivated greass hosts"
discusses host quality and the potential
for selection pressure on many of the
grass host species that the Russian
wheat aphid uses during the
oversummering months (and likely year
round). http://www.springerlink.com/content/bqmv53526572t087/
December 2011. I have officially landed
at the University of Vermont in the
Department of Plant and Soil Science. I
am excited about getting started.
November 2011. Come see my research
posters at this year's Entomological
Society of America's meeting in Reno. I
will be presenting my work entitled "Climate
change and the perils of linear
thinking" on Wednesday, November
16 in Exhibition Hall 3, First Floor (Reno-Sparks
Convention Center). Also, check out some of the
my work with Terri Randolph and others
entitled "Suppression of Russian wheat
aphid (Diuraphis
noxia) populations with natural
enemies present in the wheat system"
which is also presented on Wednesday in Exhibition Hall
3.
November 2011. I am just back from
spending a week with Josh Tewksbury at
the University of Washington. I think we
will have some strong work coming out
soon looking at the effects of climate
change on pest pressure on a global
scale.
October 2011. I am starting a new
position as a Research Assistant
Professor at the University of Vermont
in the Department of Plant and Soil
Science! There are some really exciting
prospects with people out there that I
am eager to start working on.
June 2011. Our work (SCM, Shawn Walter,
Frank Peairs and Jennifer Hoeting)
describing the within-field spatial
variablility of the Western bean cutworm
has finally been published by
Enviromental Entomology (entitled
"Spatial variability of Western bean
cutworm populations in irrigated corn.
This work provides a first step towards
developing precision pest management
tactics for controlling this pest of
corn and beans.
June 2011. Assefa
Gebre-Amlak did a great job in getting
our work on degree-day models for the
Sunflower stem weevils out to the
farming community through a publication
called the Golden Plains Area
Agricultural Handbook (this section in
the handbook was authored by SCM, Assefa
Gebre-Amlak, J. Scott Armstrong and
Frank Peairs). This research provides
degree day information to
help time scouting for Sunflower stem
weevil in sunflower crops.
June 2011. I presented my work at two
different venues this month. The first
was a seminar given as part of the NCEAS (National Center for
Ecological Analysis and Synthesis)
Ecolunch Seminar Series, and the second
was for the Ecosystem Sciences Division
of the CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific
and Industrial Research Organization) in
Brisbane, Australia. I really enjoyed
these interactions and felt I was able
to communicate the necessity of serious
forethought when trying to parameterize
the variance signal in spatially
explicit climate change modeling of
insect pests.
April 2011. Very exciting news! On April
9th, my son Brennan Cole Adair Merrill
was born at 7 lbs, 4 oz.
March 2011. I just finished teaching a
Kids Do Ecology program with 5th graders
from Monroe Elementary School in Santa
Barbara. Our project examined how the
shape of a birds beak could influence
what food it consumes. I will be making
a link soon on this website to show our
project, including methods, results and
the poster that the class created to
explain their project.
December 2010. I will be presenting my
research on the potential effects of
climate change on the habitat of the
Russian wheat aphid at the Entomological
Society of America meeting in San Diego
at 8:00 am on Tuesday, December 14th in
the Town and Country Hotel and
Convention Center, Grand Exhibit Hall. Research Poster
December 2010. Two of my peer-reviewed
Colorado State University Technical
Reports will be published this month.
The first, entitled "Estimating Russian
wheat aphid (Homoptera: Aphididae)
overwintering success using weather
data", describes development of a
predictive model for estimating spring
Russian wheat aphid densities using
overwintering weather conditions. The
second, entitled "Examining the
correlation between fall and spring
population densities of the Russian
wheat aphid (Hemiptera: Aphididae)",
seeks to illustrate the correlation
between the density of Russian wheat
aphids before the onset of winter to the
density of aphids in the late winter and
early spring.
April 2010. I enjoyed giving a talk for
the NCEAS (National Center for
Ecological Analysis and Synthesis)
Ecolunch Seminar Series. My talk
discussed the link between Precision
Agriculture and Landscape Ecology. I
used an example that analyzed different
fertilization strategies (a traditional
fertilization strategy versus a
Precision Agriculture based yield zone
strategy) and a Precision Pest
Management example to illustrate the
importance of Precision Agricultural
strategy and the need for quality
ecological models to inform management
decisions.
March 2010. I have just returned from my
first trip to Washington DC since I was a
kid. While I was there I presented my work
on developing outbreak prediction models
to improve Russian wheat aphid pest
management strategy at the
USDA-Agriculture & Food Research
Initiative, Arthropods & Nematodes
Biology & Management Program’s awardee
workshop.
February 2010. I just sent in proofs to
the Journal of Economic Entomology for a
manuscript entitled "Non-Linear Degree Day
Models of the Sunflower Stem Weevil
(Curculionidae: Coleoptera)" from work
with Assefa Gebre-Amlak, John "Scott"
Armstrong and Frank Peairs that should
help time scouting for Sunflower stem
weevil in sunflower crops.
August 2009. Environmental Entomology just
published "Diuraphis noxia
Reproduction and Development with a
Comparison of Intrinsic Rates of Increase
to Other Important Small Grain Aphids: A
Meta-analysis" based on my work with
Thomas Holtzer and Frank Peairs . This
work was innovative not only for its
findings about life history traits of
small grain aphids but because of the way
that we handled the lack of consistently
reported units of error (e.g., the
standard error of the measurement) when
modeling meta-data.
August 2009. Colorado State University's
Agricultural Experiment Station just
published our technical bulletin that
discusses the displacement of Russian
wheat aphid Biotype 1 by Russian wheat
aphid Biotype 2, which discusses the
spread of a new and virulent (to wheat)
biotype of this aphid and its impacts on
wheat breeding.
July 2009. Frank Peairs and I just
received a grant from USDA-CSREES
Agriculture and Food Research Initiative
to start work on developing outbreak
prediction models for the improvement of
Russian wheat aphid pest management
strategies across many of the Great Plains
states.
April 2009. My first color figure was just
published in the Journal of Economic Ento
mology within an article entitled "Modeling
Spatial Variation of Russian Wheat Aphid
Overwintering Populations in Colorado
Winter Wheat" based on modeling work with
Thomas Holtzer, Frank Peairs and Phil
Lester. This figure depicts modeled
Russian wheat aphid densities within a
winter wheat field in Eastern Colorado.