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Summer stream temperature metrics for predicting brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) distribution in streams

TitleSummer stream temperature metrics for predicting brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) distribution in streams
Publication TypeJournal Article
Publication Year2013
Publication Date2/2013
Pagination47 - 57
AuthorsButryn, RS, Parrish, DL, Rizzo, DM
AbstractWe developed a methodology to predict brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) distribution using summer temperature metrics as predictor variables. Our analysis used long-term fish and hourly water temperature data from the Dog River, Vermont (USA). Commonly used metrics (e.g., mean, maximum, maximum 7-day maximum) tend to smooth the data so information on temperature variation is lost. Therefore, we developed a new set of metrics (called event metrics) to capture temperature variation by describing the frequency, area, duration, and magnitude of events that exceeded a user-defined temperature threshold. We used 16, 18, 20, and 22C. We built linear discriminant models and tested and compared the event metrics against the commonly used metrics. Correct classification of the observations was 66% with event metrics and 87% with commonly used metrics. However, combined event and commonly used metrics correctly classified 92%. Of the four individual temperature thresholds, it was difficult to assess which threshold had the ‘‘best’’ accuracy. The 16C threshold had slightly fewer misclassifications; however, the 20C threshold had the fewest extreme misclassifications. Our method leveraged the volumes of existing long-term data and provided a simple, systematic, and adaptable framework for monitoring changes in fish distribution, specifically in the case of irregular, extreme temperature events.
Short TitleHydrobiologia
Peer ReviewedY
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