Complexity, climate change and human systems
HCOL 186B SU (3 credits)
Spring 2020 Monday / Wednesday 3:30-4:45 (Jeffords 326)
Instructor: Brian Beckage (Brian.Beckage@uvm.edu)
Office Hours (Jeffords 352): Monday 4:45-5:45 pm;
Wednesday 12:30-1:30 pm
The Earth is a complex coupled human-natural system that is increasingly
dominated by human activities. We will examine anthropogenic climate
change as part of an integrated earth system that includes impacts on and
feedbacks with human systems. We will consider the challenges and
interactions between climate change and human societies by considering
responses of current and past societies to climate change and
environmental degradation. We will place anthropogenic climate change in
the broader context of limits to growth, sustainability, and societal
development. The class will emphasize readings, discussions, and
construction of simple simulation models to understand the scientific and
social basis of contemporary climate and sustainability. Students will use
the graphical computer programming language Stella to develop a simplified
model of the Earth system.
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- To understand and engage key concepts and methodologies in climate
change science and sustainability.
- To use this knowledge to analyze the responses of current and past
societies to climate change and environmental degradation.
- To synthesize our understanding of climate change and resource
limitations in a model of the Earth system using the computer language
Stella.
Achieving these goals will require:
- Completion of assigned readings and exercises
- Attendance and participation in classroom discussions
- Research into components of the human and climate systems
- Writing and synthesis of research results
- Group work in integrating research results into both conceptual and
simulation models
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Student grades will be based on the following four components:
- A research project on some aspect
of the coupled climate and human system. This paper will include
development of and results from a simulation model built in Stella. This
paper and model will be due at the end of the semester. (was 35% ->
now 20% of final grade). This should now be an
individual rather than group project.
- A corresponding class presentation
on your research project during the final week of class. (5%
of final grade)
- In-class evaluations (quizzes) based on assigned readings. These
will be approximately weekly. (35% of final grade).
- Homework assignments. These may be short essays or programming
assignments in Stella. (20% of final grade).
- Student attendance and participation in class discussions and
activities. Students are expected to attend
class and fully participate in class
activities and discussions in Blackboard. (was 5%
-> now 20% of final grade)
- Assignments that are turned in late will be assessed a 10% penalty for
each day late.
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This will be a reading-intensive, seminar-style course consisting of
in-class discussions and activities rather than lectures, and
students are expected to participate actively in class. Students will also
be assigned readings from the following set of books (below) as well as
from the popular press and the scientific literature.
These books will be required for this class and are available in the
university bookstore:
- Emanuel, K., 2018. What we know about climate change. MIT Press. ISBN:
9780262535915 Link
to book.
- Meadows, D.H., 2008. Thinking in systems: A primer. Chelsea Green
Publishing. ISBN: 9781603580557
Link to book.
- Jared M. Diamond. 2011. Collapse : how societies choose to fail or
succeed: Revised edition. Penguin. 608p. ISBN-10: 0143117009; ISBN-13:
978-0143117001 Link
to book.
- Chase-Dunn, C. and Lerro, B., 2016. Social change: Globalization from
the Stone Age to the present. Routledge. ISBN: 9781612053288
Link to book.
- Meadows, D.H., Meadows, D.L., Randers, J. and Behrens, W.W., 1972. The
limits to growth. New York.
Archive.org: Free online version of book.
Dartmouth College: Free online version of book.
- Optional: Bruce Hannon and Matthias Ruth. 2014. Modeling
dynamic biological systems. ISBN: 9783319056159 eBook ISBN:
9783319056142
Link to book. This book may be useful as you learn to build
models in the software package Stella. See below.
We will also watch a variety of documentaries and other videos inside or
outside of class: These include An
Inconvenient Truth, A
Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash, and
The Great Global Warming Swindle.
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We will build system
dynamics models in the graphical programming language Stella created
by ISEE Systems. This will require a semester student license for the
Stella software, which will cost approximately $59. see
Semester Student License